Obama Proposed Social Security & Medicare Cuts Weaken Democratic Base
WASHINGTON & SANTA
FE, NM (By James
Calmes, NYT) July
31, 2011 ―
However the debt
limit showdown ends,
one thing is clear:
under pressure from
Congressional
Republicans,
President Obama has
moved rightward on
budget policy,
deepening a rift
within his party
heading into the
next election.
Entering a campaign
that is shaping up
as an epic clash
over the parties’
divergent views on
the size and role of
the federal
government,
Republicans have
changed the terms of
the national debate.
Mr. Obama, seeking
to appeal to the
broad swath of
independent voters,
has adopted the
Republicans’
language and in some
cases their
policies, while
signaling a
willingness to break
with liberals on
some issues.
That has some
progressive members
of Congress and
liberal groups
arguing that by not
fighting for more
stimulus spending,
Mr. Obama could be
left with an economy
still producing so
few jobs by Election
Day that his
re-election could be
threatened. Besides
turning off
independents, Mr.
Obama risks
alienating
Democratic voters
already disappointed
by his escalation of
the war in
Afghanistan and his
failure to close the
Guantánamo Bay
prison, end the
Bush-era tax cuts
and enact a
government-run
health insurance
system.
“The activist
liberal base will
support Obama
because they’re
terrified of the
right wing,” said
Robert L. Borosage,
co-director of the
liberal group
Campaign for
America’s Future.
But he said, “I
believe that the
voting base of the
Democratic Party —
young people, single
women,
African-Americans,
Latinos — are going
to be so discouraged
by this economy and
so dismayed unless
the president starts
to champion a jobs
program and take on
the Republican
Congress that the
ability of labor to
turn out its vote,
the ability of
activists to
mobilize that vote,
is going to be
dramatically
reduced.”
While Mr. Obama and
Republicans have
been unable to agree
on a debt reduction
plan for spending
cuts and revenue
increases to cut $4
trillion in the
first decade, on
Saturday they were
negotiating a deal
with fewer spending
cuts that would
ensure the
government’s debt
ceiling would be
increased into 2013
to avoid another
deadlock in the heat
of campaign season.
No matter how the
immediate issue is
resolved, Mr. Obama,
in his failed effort
for greater deficit
reduction, has put
on the table far
more in reductions
for future years’
spending, including
Medicare, Medicaid
and Social Security,
than he did in new
revenue from the
wealthy and
corporations. He
proposed fewer cuts
in military spending
and more in health
care than a
bipartisan Senate
group that includes
one of the chamber’s
most conservative
Republicans.
To win approval of
the essential
increase in the
nation’s $14.3
trillion borrowing
ceiling, Mr. Obama
sought more in
deficit reduction
than Republicans
did, and with fewer
changes to the
entitlement
programs, because he
was willing to raise
additional revenue
starting in 2013 and
they were not. And
despite unemployment
lingering at its
highest level in
decades, Mr. Obama
has not fought this
year for a big jobs
program with
billions of dollars
for public-works
projects, which
liberals in his
party have clamored
for. Instead, he
wants to extend a
temporary payroll
tax cut for
everyone, since
Republicans will
support tax cuts,
despite studies
showing that
spending programs
are generally the
more effective
stimulus.
Even before last
November’s election
gave the Republicans
control of the
House, Mr. Obama had
said he would pivot
to deficit reduction
after two years of
stimulus measures
intended first to
rescue the economy
and then to spur a
recovery from the
near collapse of the
financial system.
With Republicans’
gains in the midterm
elections, that
pivot became a
lurch. Yet
Congressional
Republicans say Mr.
Obama seeks a debt
limit increase as “a
blank check” to keep
spending.
“The Republicans
won, and they don’t
know how to accept
victory,” said
Robert D.
Reischauer, a former
director of the
Congressional Budget
Office.
In his budget
proposal in January,
Mr. Obama declined
to suggest a plan
along the lines
proposed by a
majority of his
bipartisan fiscal
commission, which in
December recommended
$4 trillion in
savings over 10
years through cuts
in military and
domestic programs,
including Medicare
and Medicaid, and a
tax code overhaul to
lower rates while
also raising more
revenue.
Even though Mr.
Obama was widely
criticized,
administration
officials said at
the time that to
have embraced that
approach then would
have put him too far
to the right — where
he ultimately wanted
to end up in any
compromise with
Republicans, not
where he wanted to
start.
But by this month,
in ultimately
unsuccessful talks
with Speaker John A.
Boehner, Mr. Obama
tentatively agreed
to a plan that was
farther to the right
than that of the
majority of the
fiscal commission
and a bipartisan
group of senators,
the so-called Gang
of Six. It also
included a slow rise
in the Medicare
eligibility age to
67 from 65, and,
after 2015, a change
in the formula for
Social Security
cost-of-living
adjustments long
sought by
economists.
“He’s accommodated
himself to the new
reality in
Washington,” said
Tom Davis, a former
House Republican
leader from
Virginia. “That’s
what leaders do.”
But Congressional
Democrats and
liberal groups
objected.
“The president’s
proposing cuts to
Social Security and
Medicare has the
potential to sap the
energy of the
Democratic base —
among older voters
because of Medicare
and Medicaid and
younger voters
because of the lack
of jobs,” said Damon
A. Silvers, policy
director of the
A.F.L.-C.I.O. “And
second, all these
fiscal austerity
proposals on the
table will make the
economy worse.”
Mr. Obama’s
situation has
parallels with the
mid-1990s, when
President Bill
Clinton shifted to
the center after
Republicans took
Congress and battled
them on deficit
reduction and a
welfare overhaul.
Many Democrats were
angered by his
concessions, by a
sense of being left
out of negotiations
and by a fear of
alienating
Democratic voters.
Mr. Clinton was
re-elected in 1996.
But Mr. Obama is
likely to face the
voters with a weaker
economy and higher
unemployment than
during Mr. Clinton’s
era. Still, his
advisers express
confidence that
voters will reward
Mr. Obama either for
winning a bipartisan
deal, if that were
to happen, or for at
least having a more
balanced approach
that does not remake
Medicare and
Medicaid and asks
for more revenue
from the wealthy.
And they suggest
another potential
parallel with the
Clinton years of
divided government:
that Republicans
risk a voter
backlash with their
uncompromising
stands.
“Democrats created
Social Security and
Medicare, and we
have fought for
decades against
Republican attempts
to end these
programs,” said Dan
Pfeiffer, Mr.
Obama’s
communications
director. “And
President Obama
believes that now is
the time for
Democrats to be the
ones to step up and
save Social Security
and Medicare.”
Mark Mellman, a
Democratic pollster,
said polling data
showed that at this
point in his term,
Mr. Obama, compared
with past Democratic
presidents, was
doing as well or
better with
Democratic voters.
“Whatever qualms or
questions they may
have about this
policy or that
policy, at the end
of the day the one
thing they’re
absolutely certain
of — they’re going
to hate these
Republican
candidates,” Mr.
Mellman said. “So
I’m not honestly all
that worried about a
solid or
enthusiastic base.”
Binyamin
Appelbaum
contributed
reporting.








