An opinion poll among
Hispanic voters in the
United States revealed a
high level of economic
anxiety in the
community, a disconnect
in the economic
decisions made by the
Obama administration and
the highest level of
concern ever seen about
the current immigration
policy.
The poll, the first one
in a series to be
conducted jointly by
impreMedia and Hispanic
Decisions (LD) over the
next twelve months,
explores the situation
of the Hispanic group most
integrated into American
society: voters, whether
born here or naturalized
citizens.
Araceli Ceja is one of
those citizens,
currently unemployed,
who fears for her
family’s future. "The
truth is I voted for
Obama and I still have
faith that he can change
things," said Ceja
during an interview at
the local unemployment
office, where she was
waiting for some
paperwork. "But I have
been unemployed for a
year, filled out more
than 100 job
applications and have
not gotten anywhere. No
one is hiring."
Ceja may reflect a
reality that, although
serious for the entire
country, has hit
Hispanics
and African-Americans
the hardest. Despite a
recent decrease in the
overall and Hispanic
unemployment rates,
Hispanics still have
higher unemployment than
the majority: 12.6%
versus 8.7% for the
white population.
Middle-class Hispanics and
those who are more
integrated into society
are also feeling the
insecurity of the
recession, even though
it appears that an
economic recovery has
started. The problem is
that the recovery has
not reached all parts of
society.
This is why the results
of a Hispanic voter poll
are even more important
than a poll of the
Hispanic population as a
whole, according to Matt Barreto, a political
science professor at the
University of Washington
and pollster for LD.
"Here we see that the
economy is having a very
significant effect on
the Hispanic community,
and we are referring to
a group of Hispanics that
is more integrated into
the country’s economic
and political life,
usually a more stable
group than the newly
arrived," said Barreto.
"This is a number I did
not expect to be so
high."
The poll also found that
the status quo of
American immigration
policy and its lack of
reform has become the
top concern for
Hispanics.
Immigration is the
number one concern,
surpassing even concern
about the economy,
despite its considerable
insecurity.
Of important issues now
before the president and
Congress, 47% of
Hispanic
voters consider
immigration or a lack of
immigration reform most
important. The second
most important issue to
Hispanic voters (43%) is
the creation of jobs and
the economy in general.
And third and last (20%)
is education, which used
to be a main priority
for this community."Immigration
is a very important
issue for Hispanics, and
last fall it was in
second place after the
economy," said Gary
Segura, a political
science professor at
Stanford University and
also an advisor for LD.
"The community saw how
the DREAM Act failed and
new Arizona-style local
laws. The issue has
become a serious
concern."
Immigration is not such
an important issue for
the rest of the
population. A recent CNN
poll found that only 7%
of Americans consider it
a priority, and the
question referred to
"illegal immigration."
Poll results are very
significant regarding
the economy, revealing
anxiety about the
immediate future among
Hispanics. This is despite
President Obama’s recent
State of the Union
address, where he
declared that the
economy is improving,
and recent reports that
indicate a decrease in
the unemployment rate.
Of those polled, 66% are
worried about their
family’s employment
situation and possible
unemployment during the
next year. Another
question revealed that
51% have had problems
"many times" during the
last year paying their
family’s bills, while 9%
have had that problem
"once."
In addition to a feeling
of insecurity, a
significant number of
Hispanics, even those who
have not personally
experienced problems,
feel that their
interests are not
usually reflected when
decisions are made in
Washington. Of those
surveyed, 43% said very
little attention is paid
to their economic needs.
Only 11% said that there
is much attention, and
38% said there is some
attention.
Fernando Gomez, like
many other homeowners,
can understand those
concerns because he is
having a hard time
paying his home mortgage
now that one of his
household’s two salaries
is gone. His wife Rosa
lost her job six months
ago and since then, they
have had problems paying
their bills.
"We have had to cut
several extras like
cable, eating out with
the kids," said Gomez
during a phone interview
from Dallas, Texas. "I
really do not see an end
to this recession."
Even so, Hispanics
continue trusting Obama
and the Democrats (64%)
more than the
Republicans (20%) to
resolve the country’s
economic woes, although
they differ with the
White House about some
solutions. For example,
they are more in
agreement on the need
for investing instead of
lowering taxes, and when
it comes to tax cuts,
they prefer that the
richest not be included
(50% prefer the richest
not be included).
Support for measures
like the DREAM Act,
which were unsuccessful
in the last Congress
despite the Obama
administration’s
promises, continues
being very high within
this group of voters.
The poll revealed that
85% back this measure
and only 9% are against
it. This failure and the
lack of immigration
reform have made
Hispanics
worry more about this
issue, which is
surpassing other issues
of interest.
A poll of 500 Hispanic
voters was conducted in
January and February
2011 in 21 states where
95% of registered
Hispanic
voters live. It has a
margin of error of
+/-4.38%. Hispanic
Decisions began
conducting the polls in
August 2010 and will
continue doing them with Impremedia during the
next 12 months, tracking
Hispanic voters. This is
the first continuous
tracking poll and until
now the only one among
polls of Hispanics in the
United States.
Experts interpret
results
The growing concern of
the most integrated
Hispanic population
(naturalized citizens
and those born here)
regarding immigration
policy is a sign that
tough rhetoric and
anti-immigrant measures
are not just affecting
the undocumented and are
turning into a real
problem for the entire
community, according to
experts.
The Impremedia-LD poll
reveals a high level of
concern among Hispanic
voters regarding
immigration: 47% think
it is the first issue
the government should
address. This interest
increases to 54% among
naturalized citizens.
"Hispanic voters perceive
an attack against
immigrants as an attack
against Hispanics, and
they also feel that some
of the measures
implemented will not
only affect the
undocumented, but also
even second- and
third-generation
citizens, especially
police measures," said
Gabriel Sanchez, a
political science
professor at the
University of New
Mexico.
Kevin Johnson, professor
of chicano/a studies at
UC Davis, said that for
at least 10 years voters
have been asked for
support in return for
promises about
immigration. "And what
we have seen are more
deportations, more
detentions and more
police solutions," said
Johnson.
However, Louis De Sipio,
a professor at UC
Irvine, indicated that
the recent debate over
the DREAM Act is what
catalyzed the interest
of Hispanics. "The issue
is very fresh in the
minds. This measure was
thought to be the most
achievable one and
nevertheless it was not
accomplished," said De Sipio.
The economic anxiety the
community feels has a
simple explanation. This
community has been
affected the most by
unemployment, the
mortgage crisis, bad
loans and lack of access
to credit for small
businesses from the
banks, as the experts
point out.
A recent study by the
Pew Research Center
showed that the home
foreclosure rate is
higher in cities and
towns with a higher
percentage of Hispanics
and African-Americans.
That same study
indicated that 50% of
subprime loans that
subsequently failed were
granted to those two
groups.
A certain disconnect
between Washington and
ordinary Hispanics also
stands out.
"We are talking about
43% of Hispanic voters who
feel that Washington is
not paying much
attention to their
problems. The economy is
a priority, but many
expect to hear something
different from the
political leadership,"
said Matt Barreto, a
political scientist from
the University of
Washington and pollster
for LD.
"One of the two, either
this is true and
Hispanics
are not being asked, or
there is no effective
communication between
Washington and Hispanics
about their needs and
how the economy is
affecting them," added Barreto.